Apple back on a roll

On Monday – markets were closed for Martin Luther King Day – Apple announced its visionary CEO, Steve Jobs, would take an indefinite medical leave. Markets digested the news for a day, and Apple shares closed yesterday down only 2.3%. It's up half a percent today on great earnings. The company announced record quarterly revenue and earnings of $26.74 billion (a 71% increase) and $6 billion (a 78% increase), respectively. Apple sold 4.13 million Macs (up 23% from a year ago), 16.24 million iPhones (up 86% from a year ago), 19.45 million iPods (a 7% decline), and 7.33 million iPads (which Apple released in April 2010).

If you're a new subscriber to Stansberry's Investment Advisory, you can find the five End of America special reports we promised on our homepage. Log in and look for "Publications" on the left side of the screen. Click on "Stansberry's Investment Advisory." You'll see a list of options... Choose the fourth option, "End of America." You will find every report there.

The company will likely see higher iPhone sales this quarter... Verizon will start carrying the iPhone 4 next month, and AT&T cut prices for the iPhone 3GS to $49. Apple is releasing a new version of its iPad. So while the loss of Steve Jobs will definitely hurt Apple in the long-term – he's brilliant at product development – the stock is fine in the short-term as its products continue to gain market share.

Apple is the most widely held stock in the hedge-fund world – owned by 75 hedge funds. And the top 10 holders (including D.E. Share, Renaissance Technologies, and Greenlight Capital) own around 16.5 million shares, nearly 2% of the company. The small selloff following the Jobs announcement means the big money is holding. Are we buyers of Apple at current prices? Maybe... There's still plenty of growth for iPhones and iPads. One analyst says the stock will hit $550. Are we sellers? Not a chance... It never pays to short the biggest juggernaut in the market.

 Another big kudos to our natural resource analyst, Matt Badiali... because another one of his recommendations is skyrocketing...

If you've been reading the Digest for more than a few months, you're probably aware of the string of huge winners Matt is generating for his subscribers right now. In just the past year, he's booked a 542% gain in ATAC Resources, a 345% gain in Silver Wheaton, a 339% gain in Jinshan Mines, a 198% gain in AuEx Ventures, and a 161% gain in Rainy River.

One of Matt's biggest investment themes right now is to buy stakes in the world's largest undeveloped resource deposits. The argument here is giant mining companies see China and India's incredible potential demand for natural resources like crude oil, natural gas, copper, uranium, and agriculture... and they're scrambling to lock up long-term reserves. If the giants don't buy up these resources now, they run the risk of dwindling reserves in the future.

One of the whoppers Matt is focused on is a gargantuan undeveloped copper and gold deposit in Alaska known as "Pebble." At last count, Pebble holds 80 billion pounds of copper... which makes it one of the five largest copper deposits ever discovered. But that's just part of the story...

The find also contains more than 100 million ounces of gold... which also makes it one of the largest gold deposits ever discovered.

Back in March 2009, Matt recommended acquiring a stake in Pebble through 50% owner Northern Dynasty Minerals (AMEX: NAK). Shares were trading for $4.18. The market is catching on to Matt's thesis... The stock has exploded more than 100% in the past two months, handing Matt's readers a total gain of nearly 350%. Matt thinks the move is attributable to takeover talk... and he's tightening his stop loss to lock in this huge gain.

While Matt is cautious on "hoarding" with precious metals stocks right now, he's super-bullish on hoarding one of the world's largest stores of energy. The company that owns this hoard is trading for dirt-cheap, which makes it a safe position. It also has a huge portfolio of undeveloped reserves, which offer the shareholder tremendous future upside. The stock also pays a safe dividend that can only rise during a period of inflating resource prices. It's all in the latest issue of the S&A Resource Report. Learn how to access the issue here.

End of America Watch

Today, Camden, New Jersey is starting a round of layoffs that could cut up to 383 city jobs (one-fourth of the employees). The exact number of layoffs depends on whether the public workers' union makes last-minute concessions. Life is already bad in Camden... More than half the 80,000 residents live in poverty. And with the potential loss of one-third of the fire department and half the police force, Camden – the nation's second-most dangerous city in 2009 (it ranked first the two previous years) – will get even worse. In 2009, Camden had 2,380 violent crimes per 100,000 – over five times the national average.

What led Camden to ruin? The same thing that is causing most municipalities their financial problems... unions. According to Porter:

About 40 years ago, during the 1970s, many of the union-led businesses failed – northern textiles, most noticeably. These businesses were replaced with union-free companies, mostly located in the South. The same has since occurred since in the airlines (Southwest), steel (Nucor), and in the car business (Toyota), where non-union companies were able to pay market-based wages and force union-dominated companies out of business.

The interesting part was the union's response. They fled into the state sector, where there isn't any competition.

Today, government employees are nearly 40% union represented, as opposed to the private sector where unions represent less than 20% of the work force. And local government workers (or those at the helm of the municipal debt crisis) have the highest union membership rate at 43.4%. You can see the official stats here.

Half of country's union members live in just six states: California, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Michigan and New Jersey. These states are also the states with the worst financial problems.
If you look at the spending problems at the state level, the deficits (as well as the income taxes) both started when the unions were finally allowed to represent state workers.

One Camden resident, Kelly Francis, president of the local NAACP, understands the problem. Francis acknowledges the city should have been shedding staff for decades... "It seems to me there's an entitlement mentality in the city of Camden. It's been at least 40 years that the state's been bailing out the city." This is an entitlement mentality evident in most states. They don't think the government will ever let them fail. We're about to find out...

To see the End of America video that started it all, click here...

Also, to read an exclusive interview with Porter Stansberry explaining how to protect yourself from the End of America, click here...

New highs: WidsomTree Japan SmallCap Fund (DFJ), Northern Dynasty (NAK), Nautilus Minerals (NUS.TO), Suncor Energy (SU), Dun & Bradstreet (DNB), CARBO Ceramics (CRR), Calpine (CPN), HMS Holdings (HMSY), ExxonMobil (XOM), AmeriGas Partners (APU), Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR), SVB Financial Group (SIVB), Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX).

To answer today's most asked feedback question... The easiest way to access your paid subscriptions is through the Stansberry homepage. Also, make sure you contact our customer service team (by phone: 888-261-2693 or e-mail: info@stansberryresearch.com). And send your financial questions and comments to feedback@stansberryresearch.com.

"On last observation: Immediately after your recitation of commodity price increases, when you talk about the worlds disinterest in holding dollars, and the result being high mortgage rates of 10% or 15%, my first reaction was: 'When people don't want something it usually gets cheaper, not more expensive. Why would interest rates go up?' It might have been clearer had you said the world would be less interested in holding dollar denominated debt." – Paid-up subscriber Michael Macielag

Goldsmith comment: Interest rates would go up because nobody will want the underlying asset... U.S. Treasurys.

"My name is Doug Ottosen and I'm still a little confused.. I get the S&A Digest and I see all the feedback of these paid-up subscribers but never see your current buy advice. I just see results of your older recommendations... Am I a paid up subscriber or not? If so, where are your current buys posted for me to consider?... I'd appreciate some feedback to point me in the right direction." –Paid-up subscriber Doug Ottosen

Goldsmith comment: Doug, you subscribe to Stansberry's Investment Advisory. We e-mail you new issues as they are published (once a month). You can also access your information through our homepage (www.stansberryresearch.com). If you're still having issues, please contact our customer service team via phone (888-261-2693) or email (info@stansberryresearch.com). 

Regards,

Sean Goldsmith
Baltimore, Maryland
January 19, 2011

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