Morning Briefing | This Stock Market Myth Could Be Holding You Back
Arm skyrockets in successful IPO – SoftBank-owned chipmaker Arm (ARM) had a successful debut on the Nasdaq Composite Index, surging about 20% in midday trading. The company raised $4.87 billion, making it the largest initial public offering ("IPO") of the year. Arm sold 95.5 million American depositary shares at the top of its price range, and the shares opened well above their IPO price, at $56.10 per share. This brings the company's valuation to $62 billion. Arm's debut is a big win for SoftBank, especially as the bank attempted to sell the company to Nvidia (NVDA) for $40 billion in 2020. The successful IPO may instill confidence in other tech startups and companies planning to go public in the U.S., and it could awaken the sleepy IPO market we've seen so far this year.
Auto workers union goes on strike as negotiation deadline passes – The United Auto Workers ("UAW") union have gone on strike against Detroit's Big Three automakers – General Motors (GM), Ford Motor (F), and Stellantis (STLA). The current labor contract expired at its midnight deadline, resulting in an organized walkout of thousands of workers. The UAW's primary concerns are pay raises, cost-of-living adjustments, pensions for newer workers, and job security at select factories. While the goal is not an initial all-out stoppage, the union plans to disrupt operations while it conserves its $850 million strike fund. The White House has closely monitored the situation and is aware that a strike could raise auto prices, significantly harm suppliers, and impact the overall economy.
Rising energy costs send producer prices higher – U.S. producer prices for August saw their biggest increase in over a year, driven by rising energy and transportation costs. The Producer Price Index ("PPI") rose 0.7% from July as gasoline prices soared 20%. Core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, only ticked up 0.2%. Despite easing pricing pressures at the wholesale level and slowdowns in various foreign economies, increased oil prices pose a threat to cooling inflation further. As a result, these developments will be closely monitored by the Federal Reserve as it considers its next moves.
The ECB continues to fight inflation, announcing 10th rate hike – The European Central Bank ("ECB") raised its interest rate to 4% on Thursday, marking the 10th consecutive increase. ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated that the central bank is uncertain whether it has reached its peak of monetary tightening, but she suggested that the focus may shift toward the duration of the tightening cycle. While the market anticipated this hike, the uncertainty of the ECB's direction has led to a drop in the euro and a rally in bonds. The situation remains challenging for the central bank as it struggles to deal with economic headwinds and stabilize prices.
China cut bank reserve requirements to stimulate spending – The People's Bank of China reduced the reserve-requirement ratio for most banks to foster lending capacity and support government spending. The move should facilitate fiscal stimulus, especially in the form of local government bonds. Large-scale government bond issuance can lead to ample bank liquidity, and the cut in reserve requirements is expected to free up between $55 billion and $69 billion. While China's economic recovery has slowed, the government may wait for the Federal Reserve's rate decisions before taking any additional action.
In today's NewsWire issue, Kevin is sharing a guest essay from Keith Kaplan. Keith is CEO of our corporate affiliate TradeSmith. And in today's essay, he discusses one of the biggest myths that keeps folks from investing in the stock market... and explains why you shouldn't buy into it.
How do some of the myths about the stock market even start?
One would guess it comes from simple perception. But the myth we need to debunk today is downright infuriating.
It's the belief that you need a lot of starting money to be a successful investor.
That couldn't be further from the truth. You don't need $1 million to start investing the right way. You don't even need $1,000.
All you need is a small stake and the right level of confidence...
The stock market is not just for rich people. It's not just for brokers and people with big boats sitting off the docks of Manhattan or Miami.
It's a genuine wealth-building tool for America's middle class. But many people don't take advantage of it...
It hasn't helped that three major financial crises occurred in the last 20 years... The dot-com bubble, the great financial crisis of 2008, and the COVID crash of 2020 have turned many 401(k)s into "201(k)s."
These sharp downturns have shaken confidence in U.S. and global markets. As a result, middle-class investors – who are typically loss averse and prone to selling stocks in times of crisis – have walked away from stock market investing.
When it comes to who owns stocks and who doesn't, the numbers are staggering...
The top 1% of households by wealth have controlled 70% to 80% of the market since 1989. But the Federal Reserve reports that as of early 2020, the top 10% of households by wealth were near their highest levels of stock ownership ever... controlling 87.2% of U.S. equities.
In 2007, roughly 66% of Americans owned stock. Today, according to a recent Gallup survey, that figure is roughly 61%.
Wall Street, meanwhile, isn't doing anything to bring more Americans into the market. Hedge funds, private-equity firms, family offices, and certain institutions are typically designed for accredited investors.
Who is an "accredited investor?"
These are individuals who only qualify for certain asset classes that are heavily focused on the markets. Accredited investors must earn at least $200,000 per year or have a net worth (minus their primary residence) of $1 million or more.
Big banks and big money managers love these investors because they generate massive fees for their bottom line.
But they've also contributed to the ongoing consolidation of assets among the wealthiest people in America. According to a Federal Reserve report, the top 1% of households in the U.S. own 52% of the stocks.
No wonder there is this ongoing misconception that the stock market is a machine built for rich people.
However, don't buy into that myth. The stock market is your tool to find success and build wealth.
I've had many conversations with people about where and how to start investing. And I always try to get people to think in terms of "rules." So here it goes...
Rule one: Don't think that you don't have enough money to get started.
For example, I listen to people say that they need to hit a particular savings milestone before they start investing. Some people say they need $10,000 or $15,000 in their savings account before they start investing.
No. Start now.
Instead of putting $100 or $200 away each week or month into a savings account, put it in the market. The savings account will pay you a paltry 0.08% interest, which is lower than the inflation rate. You're actually losing purchasing power by parking your money in that savings account.
Think of it this way... You'd need 866 years to double your money at 0.08%. If you were earning 10% a year, you'd need just over seven years to double your money.
There are undervalued stocks that you can buy for $50 or $100. They might be trading even lower than the amount of money you have to start building a portfolio, which allows you to buy multiple shares. If you have $50 and the stock is at $5, buy 10 shares. If you have $50 and it trades at $10, buy five shares.
All you need to do is start small.
If you're out of the market – or just starting to dip your toe into it for the first or second time – you're in the right place. Or maybe this applies to someone you know... Maybe you have a college graduate in your family who's just getting their financial start in life.
Regardless, you should start small if you're learning how to trade and invest. And even if you do have a lot of capital, you shouldn't dive into the markets with both feet.
You don't need to worry about buying every single stock that interests you at once. Start with a few ideas and pick your best ones.
But for now... have confidence in the fact that the markets are not just for the wealthy.
Regards,
Keith Kaplan
Remember, whether you're writing in about a past essay, asking us a question, or even responding to another reader's question... we want to hear from you! As always, send your questions and comments to new@stansberryresearch.com.
Join for free. See how over a million people are taking control of their wealth…
