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Shock and Wait

What 'nobody knows'... The latest in a series of supply shocks... Oil prices are up 60% since the Iran war started... What's next?... Stocks are deeper in 'no man's land'... The weak canary in the coal mine...


At school with the Fed Chair...

This morning, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell answered questions from students at Harvard's Principles of Economics class in a sort of parting lecture. I (Corey McLaughlin) tuned in to part of the livestream...

One student asked Powell the "question of the moment."

After suggesting to Powell that the trillions of dollars of stimulus pumped into the economy during the COVID-19 pandemic is still influencing inflation, the student asked about the idea that "instability geopolitically" could, in part, create an "inflationary spiral."

Powell (erroneously, in my view) brushed aside the influence of 2020's sharply rising money supply on inflation. "My story of the pandemi

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