The Magnificent Seven Won't Lead Forever
Editor's note: Finding the stock market's next big, long-term winners is no easy task. Over nine decades, fewer than 1% of stocks generated the majority of market wealth... And the challenge is as relevant as ever today. But as Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin explains, a new approach will help investors exchange yesterday's winners for tomorrow's standout stocks...
A famous 2016 study proved what I – and most institutional investors – already knew...
It's not hard to pick a stock that does well over the course of a few months. But it's unlikely that anyone will pick a stock that does well for decades on end.
Back when this study came out, it looked at every publicly traded stock between 1926 and 2016. It found that only five of those stocks created 10% of the market's total wealth during that time.
Not only that, but the top 90 stocks made up more than half of the market's total wealth creation. That's 90 stocks out of more than 25,000.
This is a big deal – because the study went well beyond the active stocks in 2016. It also included all of the delisted stocks since 1926. At the time, the stock market's total wealth creation was nearly $35 trillion.
That means only 0.4% of stocks that had ever existed created more than $17 trillion in value.
Today, a decade has passed since that study... And now, other giants are commanding the market.
So, in a narrow market like this, it's as important as ever to have a system that helps you avoid what has been working and spot what's coming next...
Today, we can see this same pattern at work in the holdings of the tech-focused Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ).
The fund's largest holding, Nvidia (NVDA), makes up 8% of QQQ. And out of 102 holdings, the top 10 stocks make up about 47% of the fund's value.
Put simply – your chance of picking a future winner today is incredibly low. But that doesn't mean it's impossible.
The problem is, yesterday's winners are already starting to lose their edge...
Once-Strong Stocks Won't Save Your Portfolio
The leading "Magnificent Seven" stocks have dominated market headlines for more than a year now. But this small group can't lead the pack forever.
We can see it by looking at the Power Gauge. I built this tool to level the playing field for everyday investors. At Chaikin Analytics, we use it to combine several key investment factors into a simple, actionable rating ranging from "very bullish" to "very bearish."
Today, only one of the Magnificent Seven stocks gets a "bullish" rating from the Power Gauge. Five of them have a "neutral" rating... And Tesla (TSLA) gets a "very bearish" rating.
No doubt, Tesla is a volatile stock. And CEO Elon Musk is a polarizing figure.
But since the start of 2026, Tesla shares have dropped 15%. It hasn't received a "bullish" or better rating in the Power Gauge all year. And it has regularly underperformed the S&P 500 Index since mid-February.
You can see it in the chart here...
A "very bearish" rating isn't a good sign. It means there's a good chance the stock will underperform the market in the coming months.
But Tesla isn't the only Mag Seven stock sitting on losses this year. As I said earlier, nearly every other stock in this group is neutral... which means they're trading below their long-term trend.
This is especially true for Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META). These stocks have fallen 23% and 15% since the start of 2026, respectively.
We're starting to see a pullback in the companies that powered the first AI wave. It's time to find the next generation of leaders.
The Next Evolution of the Power Gauge
The ongoing AI megatrend has gone from science fiction to something that's touching nearly every aspect of our lives.
The technology has developed rapidly. And it's continually getting better.
That's why we feel today is the right time to harness the power of AI in our existing stock-rating system at Chaikin Analytics.
To be clear, AI is not going to replace the Power Gauge. And it isn't a substitute for the work our analysts do.
Rather, it's an evolution of our system... a "Time Machine" of sorts. And it's meant to better help investors like you find the winners in the long term.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin
Editor's note: Over his 60-year career, Marc has used the Power Gauge to help everyone from hedge funds to individual investors spot the next "moonshot" opportunities. But yesterday, he unveiled a powerful upgrade to this system. His new research helps investors find stocks today that look like Nvidia, Amazon, and other market leaders... before they made their biggest gains.
Further Reading
Inflation is on the rise today. With that, consumer sentiment has been marking new all-time lows this year. But surprisingly, the bearish consumer could be a signal that today is a good time to own stocks.
"When markets are this narrow, one stumble could take everything down," Joe Austin writes. That's the downside of today's technology boom. But for investors who know where to look, there's a lesser-known way to avoid the froth in today's bull market.

