The Tight Grip on Fire Safety Is Paying Off

Editor's note: Earlier this year, the Palisades Fire tore through Southern California... forcing more than 100,000 people to evacuate. As firefighting agencies restored the area, they relied on one company's products and solutions. But according to Joel Litman, founder of our corporate affiliate Altimetry, the market is still discounting this near-market monopoly – which gives investors an opportunity to get in before this growth story catches on...

Back in January, wildfires ripped through Southern California, forcing evacuations and blanketing hillsides in smoke...

As the flames approached Los Angeles County, planes released a thick, red fire retardant. The goal was to slow down the blaze before it consumed homes.

Nearly every drop of that liquid came from Perimeter Solutions (PRM). But Perimeter isn't just a government partner... It's the only player in town.

As the only approved supplier of aerial fire retardants for the U.S. Forest Service, Perimeter has fended off competitors for years. And its fire retardants have become the gold standard in wildfire response.

Over the past 60 years, they've saved thousands of properties from destruction. And the market is starting to catch on, especially as wildfires become more frequent.

Perimeter's stock is up nearly 80% year to date. But, as we'll explain, it may have room to run even higher.

Perimeter has built a monopoly around the U.S. fire-retardant market...

The company controls the nation's product supply. It also operates dozens of air bases used by federal and state firefighting agencies. So they're forced to rely on Perimeter's services and solutions.

Its best-known fire retardants are Phos-Chek and Fire-Trol. Since 2021, their prices have jumped 20% to 30%... while federal spending on these products has more than doubled, reaching about $250 million.

As we noted earlier, Perimeter also knows how to eliminate the competition...

Back in 2021, a promising startup called Fortress entered the scene. After its fire retardant passed the U.S. Forest Service's laboratory tests, Perimeter took action... It lobbied aggressively against the company and cast doubt on product safety.

Regulators delayed Fortress' approval and eventually revoked it altogether. By the spring of 2025, the company shut down, restoring Perimeter's exclusive control.

And Perimeter's market muscle has generated extremely strong earnings...

This Utility-Like Monopoly Is Built to Profit

We can see this through our Embedded Expectations Analysis ("EEA") framework.

The EEA starts by looking at a company's current stock price. From there, we can calculate what the market expects from the company's future cash flows. We then compare that with our own cash-flow projections.

In short, it tells us how well a company has to perform in the future to be worth what the market is paying for it today.

Perimeter's Uniform return on assets ("ROA") – a metric we use at Altimetry to avoid the distortions of traditional accounting methods – has exceeded 50% every year except for 2024.

Take a look...

In the future, the market expects the company to return more than four times the corporate average of 12%. But that doesn't reflect Perimeter's past performance, which could easily repeat.

And it certainly doesn't capture the company's future potential...

Perimeter has unmatched pricing power and no real competitors in the fire-retardant space. It also operates within federal and state infrastructure... and influences policy.

In short, Perimeter functions more like a public utility than a private supplier...

And all these factors are tightening the company's grip on the fire-retardant market. As the threat of wildfires grows and product prices rise, Perimeter will see more demand and rake in huge profits.

The market is slowly catching on to this trend. But it hasn't yet priced in Perimeter's dominance. That's where the opportunity lies...

The stock's recent rally doesn't eliminate investment opportunities. And investors who get in now can profit from a growth story that's far from over.

Regards,

Joel Litman

Editor's note: One key link ties together hundreds of stocks that have doubled in the past six months alone. Joel and the Altimetry team discovered it after one of the most comprehensive studies on stocks ever done. They've been using this knowledge for the past year to help subscribers realize triple-digit gains. And on September 17, Joel is unveiling his findings... including how you can spot these "warp-speed price moves."