The Birth of Chaikin Money Flow
Editor's note: Imagine knowing where the Wall Street firms were moving their money...
That's a concept that was developed by Marc Chaikin, the founder of our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. In short, his system looks at how the "smart money" investors buy and sell stocks.
In today's Masters Series, originally from the May 5, 2025 issue of the free Chaikin PowerFeed e-letter, Marc gives a "behind the curtain" peek at one of the Power Gauge's key indicators. And tomorrow, we'll share an example of this indicator in action...
The Birth of Chaikin Money Flow
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics
Since my first day on Wall Street in the 1960s, I've obsessed over trading volume...
I believe it's a "missing link" for success in the markets over the long term.
After all, without volume, a stock wouldn't have any price action. Instead, it would just trade in a straight line.
The act of buying and selling shares of a stock sets the market's price.
To find the best stocks, you need to know what that buying and selling really looks like. It's about "looking under the hood" and getting a sense of what's behind a stock's movement.
After I first got this concept in my head... I couldn't let go of it.
I started looking at everything I could find in terms of trading volume...
One of the first steps in my journey was learning about financial writer Joseph Granville in the 1970s. He developed a simple but effective idea called "on-balance volume" ("OBV").
Every day, Granville would track a stock's price and whether it was up or down. He then added or subtracted that day's volume from his OBV line. And he used the data to make calls about a stock's potential path.
It was a great way for me to dip my toes into the concept of trading volume.
But I wanted more...
So I started reading research from author and trader Larry Williams. He's still active today.
Williams wrote a couple of seminal technical-analysis books in the 1970s. And importantly, he created what became known as the "Williams Accumulation/Distribution indicator."
In short, Williams focused on a stock's closing price versus the opening price. And at the time, it provided a big step forward over other published work in terms of trading volume.
That's when it all really clicked for me.
I used to compute Williams' math by hand using a "Bowmar Brain" calculator...
The calculations themselves weren't hard. But collectively, it produced a ton of work. And I had to do it every day for every stock I was watching.
The ticker tape never stopped. So I needed to continually update my calculations.
That made trying to get ahead of the market hard enough.
Then, something small happened in the world. And it changed the direction of my life...
Around 1978, newspapers stopped publishing granular price data on stocks...
The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and other publications would print the open, high, low, and close prices for stocks every day. And importantly, they would also print the volume.
But for some reason...
They all decided around the same time that it wasn't necessary anymore.
Frustrating doesn't even begin to describe my feelings at the time.
I had found the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Then, without any input from me, the leprechaun ripped the pot right out of my hands.
The data I needed had vanished.
But I wasn't going to give up.
So I set out to create a new formula, as Williams had done.
I knew I could compare a stock's opening price with its average price for the day. And I could do the same thing with the closing price and the average price.
That worked – and frankly, it was even better than Williams' way. Then, it dawned on me...
I needed to look at how institutions buy and sell stocks.
Put simply, the real buyers – the market's most powerful players – typically get in toward the end of the day. This idea is the foundation of my Chaikin Money Flow indicator.
That's the short version of how this indicator came to be...
I created it to follow the buying and selling patterns of the "smart money" on Wall Street. And today, it's one of the most important pieces of the Power Gauge for determining which direction a stock might be headed next.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin
Editor's note: On May 28, Marc is teaming up with master trader Jonathan Rose for the first time ever. They're revealing a brand-new "Smart Money Super-Signal" that's designed to take advantage of market uncertainty. By applying Marc's Money Flow indicator with Jonathan's trading research, this system could show you 10 chances to double your money over the next year. Click here to learn more.
