Food stamp nation...
Food stamp nation... More Treasurys coming... Fed holds steady... FBI looks into MF Global... Another government fool... Selling options is great...
August was an important month for the United States...
We hit an all-time record number of people on food stamps… 45.8 million. If, like Nancy Pelosi, you believe this type of government support is bullish for our economy, things are beautiful…
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On July 1, Pelosi proclaimed in a weekly press briefing that the best way to stimulate the economy was to extend unemployment benefits – beyond the two-year limit. "It injects demand into the economy... It creates jobs faster than almost any other initiative you can name. – July 9, 2010, Digest |
If you live in the real world, you realize how dire the situation is. Nearly one in seven people in America is on food stamps. Unemployment – at least the numbers the government reports – is above 9%. The federal government is broke. Our states and municipalities are broke. And the number of people relying on the government for survival is increasing every day. What happens when inflation renders food stamps and unemployment benefits useless? We'll see people starving and riots in the streets. Luckily, the government has the solution...
Today, the Treasury released its schedule for bond sales for the first and second quarters of the fiscal year – October 2011-December 2011 and January 2012-March 2012, respectively. And no surprise, it's larger than last year... much larger. The Treasury expects to issue $305 billion in the first quarter and $541 billion in the second quarter – a total of $846 billion of new debt in six months. That's up from $628 billion in the same period last year, a 35% increase.
On the topic, the Federal Reserve announced our economy is strengthening and consumers are spending more. As such, it's maintaining the current economic policy. The Fed will keep short-term rates near zero until mid-2013. And it will continue purchasing long-term Treasurys on the market to push down long-term rates (a move that's bad for mortgage REITs, like Annaly, which make the spread between short- and long-term rates).
The Fed acknowledged our economy still faces "significant downside risks" (including the ongoing debt issuance we mentioned above and the European crisis). And how will our central bank handle these risks? By leaving the possibility of further quantitative easing (QE) open. Erase the debt with still more debt...
I don't think anyone doubts the Fed will resume QE at some point. It's the government's only option (to inflate debts away rather than pay). No wonder gold is up 1.5% today.
A quick update on the MF Global fiasco... NBC reports federal prosecutors and the FBI are now looking into the "missing money" issue at MF Global. We repeat our call... Someone's going to jail.
For weeks, we've been urging you to try Jeff Clark's option-trading service, the S&A Short Report. Jeff is one of the only traders we know who consistently makes money with options. In particular, his recent track record of trading gold stocks has been incredible... He made 80% in one day on Gold Fields, 55% in one week trading Kinross Gold, 80% in one week on gold miners fund GDX, and 140% in two weeks with gold.
And today, he closed two more big winners. Jeff told readers to sell some of the calls they were holding on one of our favorite gold companies at a 100% gain – in a little more than two weeks. He also closed a position in New Gold for a 54% gain in less than two weeks.
If you aren't reading the S&A Short Report, you're missing out on one of the most incredible trading streaks we've ever seen. Again, we encourage you to try this service. With his current track record, one trade could easily pay for your subscription price. Click here to sign up...
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New 52-week highs (as of 11/1/11): Fairfax Financial (FFH.TO).
If you're still not convinced selling options is one of the best ways to generate income, read today's mailbag. Have you done well selling options? Let us know here: feedback@stansberryresearch.com.
"Personally I like your Friday Digests. I have been a PSIA subscriber since the early days and an Alliance member for the last several years. Throughout the '90s and early 2000s my investing habits were eerily similar to the average investor you described in Friday's Digest. I understood investing but emotionally wasn't well suited for it, for precisely the reasons you described. I can honestly say that has changed – due in large part to you.
"Now I am much better at looking at the market and individual stocks with skepticism. I insist on value and I can now resist the urge to buy or sell based on emotion. However, the biggest change in my investing habits is in the use of options – thanks again to you. I have had a tremendous year trading options on both individual stocks (selling puts and call) as well as various indexes. I have bought and sold puts on the S&P at various times this year with great success. Your advice on buying individual bonds is next on my list – just having trouble finding value in bonds in this environment." – Paid-up subscriber Mike M.
Regards,
Sean Goldsmith
New York, New York
November 2, 2011